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randomised survey flow we differ whether respondents are given COVID-19 priming questions first, earlier than answering the outcome questions. With this therapy design we are able to also disentangle the well being and financial effects of the disaster, in addition to a possible “rally across the flag” component. We discover that the disaster has caused severe drops in interpersonal and institutional trust, in addition to decrease support for the EU and social welfare spending financed by taxes. This is largely because of economic insecurity, but additionally because of well being considerations. A rallying effect around experience mixed with populist policies losing floor forms the other side of this coin, and suggests a rising demand for competent leadership. Social distancing is a matter of individuals’ choices in addition to of regulation, and regulation arguably responds to those selections. We analyse weekly panel knowledge on such behaviour for English Upper Tier Local Authorities from March to July 2020, paying attention to the influence of poverty, as measured by free faculty meals provision. Panel regressions suggest that, although more stringent regulation and slightly lagged native circumstances of an infection increase social distancing, both effects are weaker in UTLAs with larger levels of poverty. Thus motivated, we develop a two-class (wealthy/poor) mannequin, by which a Nash non-cooperative equilibrium arises from individual selections in a regulatory regime with penalties for non-compliance. The model yields results in line with the empirical

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